February 2019

Are you a disciplined person?

If you are having a hard time answering this, perhaps this means that you are still confused about the definition of “Discipline” in your life. 

On the other hand, this is actually normal for the reason that everybody has their own definition of discipline.

Importance of Being a Disciplined Trader in the Forex Trading. For some, discipline means they are being serious about doing something but it’s a whole lot of ball game when you associate discipline to Forex trading.

In the world of Forex trading, the term disciple means, you as a trader will be following the rules of the trading system strictly and accurately.

Having Forex discipline is essential for the reason that, over 80% of Forex traders loses their trades not because they do not follow a good trading system or they do not apply the right strategy, they lose for the sole reason that they are not following the rules of trading system. In simpler term, traders do not have discipline.

If you have been trading for a while now, how can you tell if a trader has a Forex discipline or not? Following points summarize what Forex discipline should mean to every professional trader.
  • A well-disciplined Forex trader has a simple and practical trading system.
  • Disciplined Forex traders only trade whenever there is a perfect and strong trade setup. In short, he is a hunter waiting for the perfect trade to be available.
  • The trader does not seek for a new trading system every day because he has already come to a conclusion that the trading system he is trading the best as he can provide great results and success probability in the long-term.
  • A disciplined trader does not allow a profitable and nice trade to be converted into a losing position.
  • Traders with discipline do not try to make a large profit by taking too much risk.
  • A disciplined trader does not over-analyze.
  • Disciplined traders also do not see beyond what is obvious and only see the signal which is already in front of their eyes.

With the characteristics of a disciplined Forex trader stated above, can you now confirm that you are a disciplined Forex trader?

If you know for yourself that you are not a disciplined trader, you should start the change in your forex trading by having an excellent foundation of rules as you trade:

  1. You should never forget that practicing discipline while you trade is the best way of gaining successful trades and profits.
  2. Just be who you are and don’t pretend to be somebody else.
  3. Always aim to trade for another day.
  4. If you find yourself praying for a trade to become profitable, then it is a sign that you should get out of it.
  5. Never hesitate and don’t over analyze.
  6. If nothing is happening with your trade after some time, you should let it go.
  7. Find your trading groove and make sure to have a daily trading routine to be followed.

As you follow these rules properly, it will help you with your journey to trading success. This is how the successful traders of today attain their current trading standing.

They ensure to practice self-discipline and follow rules of their forex trading system promptly and strictly resulting in their successful career as a trader.

There are some aspects to trading that a lot of people don’t want to talk about. Especially, people trying to sell you expensive trading systems, some brokers, and other people who might have an interest in keeping some of the not-so-pretty parts of trading ‘under the covers’. Basically, not many other people in the mainstream Forex world are going to tell you many of the ‘ugly’ aspects of becoming a trader, so that’s a role I’ve decided to take on…

Today I want to share with you guys 7 things that no one ever told me when I began trading, and that I didn’t read on any Forex website. Indeed, the 7 points below are all things I figured out through good old trial and error, and in hopes of making your Forex trading journey a little smoother I’d like to share them with you now:

1. You don’t have to be exceptionally smart to trade successfully

Perhaps one of the biggest misconceptions that most people seem to have about professional traders is that they are ultra-smart Ivy-League math-wiz’s who have some super-human ability to make money in the markets. This is really not the case; in fact, many successful traders never even went to college or never finished, like myself, because being a successful trader takes a skill set that is not taught in most schools. In reality, being a successful trader is really more of a psychology-based skill than a technical or numbers-based skill like many people think. You don’t need a college degree to be a profitable trader, and you don’t need to understand calculus. What you really need is to make disciplined and patient trading a habit and a part of your daily trading routine.

So, don’t be overwhelmed by the endless amount of complicated trading systems and messy looking indicators that seem like something only Einstein could make sense of. You need to have emotional intelligence and the ability to control yourself in the presence of constant temptation, but you don’t need to be a mathematician, an economist or even a college graduate to be a successful forex trader.

2. Humans are not naturally good at trading

Whilst it is true that some people are naturally a little better at trading than others, it’s also true that the habits and mindset we need to consistently pull money out of the markets is not something anyone is born with. Basically, we come pre-wired to suck at trading.

Evolution has had a lot more time to have an effect on our more primitive ‘fight or flight’ brain areas than our more advanced brain areas which have evolved much more recently and are the ones we need to be good traders. When we have our real money on the line in the markets, our brains basically behave as if someone or some animal is about to steal all the food we just worked really hard to kill and bring back to the cave. Thus, when we lose that food (money) we get emotional, because we know that we have to work to make that food back AND we are still hungry. Now, in the caveman days, our primitive brain areas would serve us well by urging us to go back out into the woods and hunt another animal…or we will starve.

Fast forward thousands of years and here we are in the 21st century sitting at our computers trying to multiply our hard-earned money (food) by pushing buttons. We have really only lived in the age of computers and modern-technology for about 50 years or so, and electronic trading on the internet is much newer than that. So, the point is that our brains are basically sending us signals as if we are cavemen while we are trading, and this is the reason why we immediately jump back into the market after a loss or why we take bigger risks after we hit a big winner. To overcome this, we have to use our most advanced brain areas like the prefrontal cortex, which are more recently evolved and more adapted to the tasks of planning and holding off near-term temptations for larger longer-term gains.

The point is that it takes a conscious effort to do this, you can’t just think you’re going to ‘run and gun’ in the markets and have no plan or no logic behind what you’re doing. If you do trade in this manner, like a lot of traders, there’s almost a 100% chance that you’ll be operating off of those fight-or-flight brain areas instead of your more highly evolved brain areas which require conscious effort and ‘work’ to make use of.

3. Pro Traders Don’t Think In % Returns

One of the biggest ‘secrets’ of trading is that percent returns don’t really matter. Think about it, if someone tells you they made “100% on their account last year”, what does that really mean? It is not actually a relevant measure of trading performance because it could mean some amateur trader got lucky a few times and turned his $300 dollar account into a $600 account, or it could mean a professional trader followed his plan to the T and banged out a nice return at year’s end, also doubling his account. The point is this…percents don’t actually mean anything in the trading world because they are relative to too many other variables. 

Let me explain…

Professional traders are not typically reporting annual performance to a group of share holders; rather they are trading for profit on a month-to-month basis. They withdrawal money regularly and live off the profits…therefore their account balance is probably not a reflection of the cumulative profits they have made for that year, because they’ve taken a lot of profits out of the account. Essentially, pro traders don’t track their account value by how much ‘percent’ it is up because they take money out of it and the balance will fluctuate dramatically from month to month depending on profits and losses that occur.

In reality account size and % returns are very arbitrary in professional retail trading, the most important thing is overall risk reward …as in how much you risked vs. how much you gained, and that would be the truest measure of performance and a more genuine benchmark to compare one trader to another. Thus, professional traders are always thinking in terms of risk reward; how much money did I risk last month and how much money did I make?

4. It takes time to become a successful trader

You probably aren’t going to hear this one from anyone in the mainstream Forex world either. Most brokers and people selling “magic-bullet” Forex trading systems really want you to think that trading is easy and that soon you’ll be pulling a full-time income out of the markets.

I am not here to discourage you, because you CAN make money in the markets, I personally know quite a few traders who do, including myself. But, the ones that I know who make money in the markets were willing to put in the hours of trial and error to get to the ‘other side’. They were willing to fix their trading problems which very often meant ‘fixing’ their own mental problems that were preventing them from making money in the markets.

I believe that anyone can be a successful trader if they are willing to work for it. But you have to consciously put in the effort to only trade when your edge is present and to not risk more than you should per trade, and for many traders doing these things consistently is almost impossible.

Trading is not for everyone; even if you manage to make a living in the markets, it’s not a 9 to 5 job and you never know for sure how much you will make any given month, some people don’t like this uncertainty, actually most people don’t. This is why some traders try to set goals to make an exact dollar amount each month. But that’s not how the market works…you’ve got to trade to the best of your ability and take what profits you can get. Some months you might make a lot of money and some months you might just breakeven or lose a little bit as a pro trader.

5. Successful Forex trading should be somewhat boring

You probably won’t hear that a consistently profitable trader’s job is boring, because everyone just assumes it’s super awesome and filled with sports cars and a fast life-style. That isn’t always the case.
As a natural result of doing the things that it takes to trade successfully, like being disciplined, patient, having a trading plan, etc, you aren’t going to experience the high highs and low lows that many amateur traders experience on the way to blowing out their trading account. Instead, a pro trader is rarely surprised by any result in the market; win, lose or draw; they were prepared for any outcome because they had a plan before they entered.

I am not saying that being a professional trader isn’t fun or an awesome job and lifestyle; I’m just saying it’s quite different from what you might think. It should essentially be a non-emotional event if you are doing it right, like going to work each day. You don’t get super emotional at work every day do you? Once you reach a level where you have eliminated the emotions from your trading and you don’t feel your heart rate increasing when you enter a trade and you don’t get angry after a loss, you will be on the right track.

6. The more you ‘need’ to make money in the markets, the harder it becomes

Perhaps the best way to explain why many traders lose money over the long-run in the markets is because they put too much pressure on themselves to make it. One thing you need to come to grips with early on in your trading career is that it’s YOUR fault if you are losing money, not your brokers, not your trading buddy who told you to “buy the EURUSD because I’m sure it’s going up”…it’s all your fault if you lose money. The only person you are really in competition with in the market is YOU and more specifically, the mental variables flying around inside your head.

For most traders, they come into the markets because they think it’s an easy way to make some fast money, quit their jobs and live on the beach. Unfortunately, the reality is quite a bit different. The reality of trading is that it’s essentially a big paradox. By that I mean, the more you want and need to make money in the markets the less likely you are to do so. Whilst it’s OK to be passionate and enthusiastic about trading, for most traders they simply let those feelings influence their trading decisions too much. When you are excited about a trade, you’re emotional about it…you don’t want to wait 2 years and see your account grow at a respectable pace, instead you want to make exponential gains each week and watch your trading account make you rich. But, again, these feelings are actually causing you to lose money in the markets. You are putting too much pressure and ‘need’ on yourself, and this causes you to try and ‘force’ money from the market by trading too much and risking too much.

Instead, you have to take what the market is offering you, and if it’s not offering any good trading opportunities for a few days, or even for a week or two….THEN IT’S NOT. Just accept that the market is not going to provide you with a high-probability / obvious trade setup every single day, if it did then everyone would be rich. You’ve got to understand what I am telling you here…which is that the real ‘work’ and skill of being a great trader lies in sitting on your hands and having a very discerning eye and good timing for when to enter and when not to enter. Good traders also know that when in doubt, it’s always better to just not enter a trade.

You will make money faster by trading less frequently, because over the long-run your ability to use discretion in finding a high-probability price action strategy  is going to get more and more refined and you’ll naturally filter out more and more potential trade setups, leaving behind the higher probability ones. But, until you have developed this discretionary trading skill to its fullest, you’ll have to err on the side of caution by not trading if you have any doubt about a particular setup.

7. You Don’t Need Fancy Software or Multiple Trading Screen Setups

Most trading websites are not going to tell you that you really don’t need fancy trading software or multiple trading screen setups to be successful in the markets. The fact is, you don’t need this stuff, and you can actually trade very successfully just from your laptop and a free charting program like  metatrader 4 . I personally trade from my laptop most of the time as I am on the go a lot and I travel often.

The most important tool in your trading arsenal is you, or more specifically your brain, not trading software, indicators, or multi-screen trading rooms. If you can manage to conquer yourself and your own mental mistakes that are causing you to lose money in the markets, you will be about 80% closer to making consistent money in the market. If you combine that self-mastery with a high-probability trading strategy like price action, you will have everything you need to become a successful trader. 

Dating back to the post-WWII reconstruction era, the United Kingdom has had a tumultuous relationship with the organisations of Europe. Beginning with refusal to sign the Treaty of Rome in 1957 and culminating with the 2016 vote for Brexit, various factions in the U.K. have desired to keep mainland Europe at arm's-length.

While working to preserve the global standing of Great Britain, English leaders from Margaret Thatcher to Theresa May have addressed the question of membership to the European Union in detail. At times, the social and economic dialogue surrounding the ongoing relationship has become heated. The Brexit vote and subsequent transition process have illustrated this point on numerous occasions.

I’ve been asked lots of questions as to how to determine the next moves in GBPUSD.

There have been many arguments for a bottoming out at the current levels, as well as for a continuation given the strength of the downward move experienced post-Brexit.

In this article, I’ll try to get a handle on possible outcomes, by looking at some fundamental indicators and see where they point to for sterling over the next couple of months.

The longer-term perspective will be more difficult to gauge, since we are still in a state of flux, as long as the political situation hasn’t been clarified.  By that I mean the particular details around trade, and how future goods flows will be negotiated between the UK and its future trade partners.

In this article, we will start out by analysing domestic output and follow up next week with other economic factors.

But first let’s take a look at Sterling vs the US Dollar over the last 60 years:

UK kini berada didalam situasi yang sangat kritikal dan genting kerana pada 29 Mar 2019 akan genap tempoh 2 tahun untuk negara mereka berpisah daripada Kesatuan Eropah (European Union) setelah satu Referendum telah dilakukan pada bulan Jun 2016.

Keputusan Referendum itu telah memutuskan bahawa rakyat UK ingin meninggalkan blok Kesatuan Eropah yang telah menyebabkan banyak hak-hak dan undang-undang UK disekat oleh Eropah.

Penyertaan UK didalam Kesatuan Eropah dilakukan melalui Referendum dan tindakan untuk meninggalkan Kesatuan Eropah juga dilakukan melalui Referendum.

Setelah mengimbas kembali rentetan sejarah perjalanan UK didalam Kesatuan Eropah, banyak kebaikan yang telah diperolehi namun tidak dapat dinafikan juga kekurangan, kelemahan dan keburukan yang telah berlaku sepanjang berada didalam blok tersebut.

Semasa Referendum dilakukan pada bulan Jun 2016, matawang Great Britain Pound (GBP) telah menyaksikan kejatuhan yang dahsyat namun setelah bulan demi bulan berlalu, GBP kini dilihat telah beransur-ansur kembali kepada momentum asal.

Walau bagaimanapun, pada 29 Mar 2019 ini bakal melihat keadaan dan situasi baru untuk UK.

Adakah UK akan secara rasminya keluar daripada Kesatuan Eropah atau masih lagi terikat?

Apakah kedudukan matawang GBP semasa dan selepas 29 Mar 2019?

17 juta rakyat UK ingin Kerajaan UK meninggalkan blok Eropah namun terdapat hampir separuh rakyat dan pemimpinnya membantah usaha tersebut.

Sebagai Forex Trader, perkembangan ini sungguh amat bermakna untuk diikuti perkembangannya jikalau berminat untuk berdagang dengan matawang GBP.

Dragonfly Doji (Bullish)
a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding downtrend.
  • It looks like a "T".
  • The opening, highest and closing price are the same.
  • It has no real body but a long lower shadow.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • When the market opens, the bears drag the price all the way down, resulting in a long lower shadow.
  • The bulls fight strongly and eventually manage to push the price back up to the opening level.
  • The longer the lower shadow, the more effective the bullish signal. It tells us that the bulls are strong enough to conquer the bears who once dragged the price so low.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Dragonfly Doji at the bottom of a downtrend.
  • Wait for the next candle to close above the high of the Dragonfly Doji to confirm the existence of bullish force.
  • Open a stop-loss below the low of the Dragonfly Doji.

Hammer (Bullish)
a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding downtrend.
  • It looks like a square lollipop with a long stick.
  • The closing price is above or near the opening price, forming a tiny body.
  • The real body could be green or red.
  • It has no or little upper shadow.
  • The lower shadow is at least twice the length of the real body.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • Similarly to Dragonfly Doji, when the market opens, the bears drag the price all the way down, resulting in a long lower shadow.
  • The bulls fight strongly and conquer the bears by pushing the price above or near the opening level, forming a little square body.
  • The longer the lower shadow, the more effective the bullish signal. It tells us that the bulls are strong enough to conquer the bears who once dragged the price so low.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Hammer at the bottom of a downtrend.
  • Wait for the next candle to close above the high of the Hammer to confirm the existence of bullish force.
  • Open a long position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss below the low of the Hammer.

Bullish Engulfing (Bullish)
a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding downtrend.
  • A shorter red candle followed by a longer green candle.
  • The green candle opens lower and closes higher than the red candle, completely engulfing it.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The red candle implies the control of the bears following a prolonged downtrend.
  • In the next session, the market opens below the low of the red candle, suggesting the continuation of the bearish forces.
  • The bears then lose momentum, the bulls take charge and lead the price up during the session, and eventually manage to close above the high of the red candle.
  • The bulls have now fully overridden the bears.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Bullish Engulfing at the bottom of a downtrend.
  • Wait for the next candle to close above the high of the green candle to confirm the existence of bullish force.
  • Open a long position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss below the low of the green candle.

Piercing (Bullish)
a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding downtrend.
  • A red candle followed by a green candle.
  • The green candle opens with a gap-down and closes at 50% or above of the real body of the red candle.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The red candle implies the control of the bears following a prolonged downtrend.
  • In the next session, the market opens below the low of the red candle, suggesting the continuation of the bearish forces.
  • The bears then lose momentum, the bulls conquer and lead the price up during the session, and eventually manage to cover 50% losses or more from the previous session.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Piercing at the bottom of a downtrend.
  • Wait for the next candle to close above the high of the green candle to confirm the existence of bullish force.
  • Open a long position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss below the low of the green candle.

Tweezer Bottom (Bullish)
a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding downtrend.
  • A red candle followed by a green candle.
  • Both candles have the same low.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The candles in both sessions form the same low, suggesting that the market refuses to go below that price level. Once the price touches the floor, it bounces back. That price level may be viewed as short-term support.
  • The closing price of the green candle shies away from the low further than the red candle does. It shows that the bullish forces are getting stronger.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Tweezer Bottom at the bottom of a downtrend.
  • Wait for the next candle to close above the high of the two candles to confirm the existence of bullish force.
  • Open a long position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss below the low of the two candles

Three White Soldiers (Bullish)
a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding downtrend.
  • Three consecutive long green candles observed.
  • The second and third candle opens within the body of the preceding one but closes higher than the preceding one.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The first long green candle signals that the bears are exhausted after the prolonged downtrend and the bulls start to take over. The bulls continue the rally with the subsequent two candles closing higher.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Three Soldiers at the bottom of a downtrend.
  • Wait for the fourth candle to close above the high of the third candle to confirm the reversal.
  • Open a long position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss below the low of the first green candle.

Morning Star (Bullish)
a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding downtrend.
  • The first candle has a long and red body.
  • The second candle opens with a gap-down and has a tiny green or red body.
  • The third candle opens with a gap-up and closes at 50% or above of the first candle.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The first long red candle implies the dominance of the bears in a downtrend.
  • The gap-down of the second candle further confirms the bearish force but the tiny candle body tells us that the bears start to lose momentum.
  • The gap-up of the third candle indicates that the bulls are overriding the bears and eventually manage or makeup 50% losses or more from the first long red candle.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Morning Star at the bottom of a downtrend.
  • Wait for the fourth candle to close above the high of the third green candle to confirm the existence of bullish force.
  • Open a long position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss below the low of the second candle.

Gravestone Doji (Bearish)
a. How to recognise it?
  • The must be a preceding uptrend.
  • It looks like an inverted "T" letter.
  • The opening, lowest and closing price are the same.
  • It has no real body but a long upper shadow.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • When the market opens, the bulls push the price all the way up, resulting in a long upper shadow.
  • The bears fight strongly and eventually manage to drag the price back down to the opening level.
  • The longer the upper shadow, the more effective the bearish signal. It tells us that the bears are strong enough to conquer the bulls who once drove the price so high.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Gravestone Doji at the top of an uptrend. Wait for the next candle to close below the low of the Gravestone Doji to confirm the existence of bearish force. 
  • Open a short position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss above the high of the Gravestone Doji.

Shooting Star (Bearish)
a. How to recognise it?
  • The must be a preceding uptrend.
  • It looks like a flying meteor carrying a long tail.
  • The closing price is below or near the opening price, forming a tiny body.
  • The real body could be green or red.
  • It has no or little lower shadow.
  • The upper shadow is at least twice of the length of the real body.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • Similarly to Gravestone Doji, when the market opens, the bulls push the price all the way up, resulting in a long upper shadow.
  • The bears fight strongly and eventually manage to drag the price back down to the opening level, forming a little square body.
  • The longer the upper shadow, the more effective the bearish signal. It tells us that the bears are strong enough to conquer the bulls who once drove the price so high.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Shooting Star at the top of an uptrend. Wait for the next candle to close below the low of the Shooting Star to confirm the existence of bearish force. 
  • Open a short position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss above the high of the Shooting Star.

Dark Cloud Cover (Bearish)
a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding uptrend.
  • A green candle followed by a red candle.
  • The red candle opens with a gap-up and closes at 50% or below of the real body of the green candle.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The green candle implies the control of the bulls following a prolonged uptrend.
  • In the next session, the market opens above the high of the green candle, suggesting the continuation of the bullish forces.
  • The bulls then lose momentum, the bears conquer and send the price down during the session, and eventually manage to wipe out 50% gains or more from the previous session.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Dark Cloud Cover at the top of an uptrend.
  • Wait for the next candle to close below the low of the red candle to confirm the existence of bearish force.
  • Open a short position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss above the high of the red candle.

Tweezer Top (Bearish)
a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding uptrend.
  • A green candle followed by a red candle.
  • Both candles have the same high.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The candles in both sessions form the same high, suggesting that the market refuses to go above that price level. Once the price touches the ceiling, it retreats. That price level may be viewed as a short-term resistance.
  • The closing price of the red candle shies away from the high further than the green candle does. It shows that the bearish forces are getting stronger.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Tweezer Top at the top of an uptrend.
  • Wait for the next candle to close below the low of the two candles to confirm the existence of bearish force.
  • Open a short position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss above the high of the two candles.

Three Black Crows (Bearish)
a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding uptrend.
  • Three consecutive long red candles observed.
  • The second and third candle open within the body of the preceding one but closes lower than the preceding one.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The first long red candle signals that the bulls are exhausted after the prolonged uptrend and the bears start to take over. The bears continue the slump with the subsequent two candles closing lower.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Three Black Crows at the top of an uptrend.
  • Wait for the fourth candle to close below the low of the third candle to confirm the reversal.
  • Open a short position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss above the high of the first red candle.

Evening Star (Bearish)
a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding uptrend.
  • The first candle has a long and green body.
  • The second candle opens with a gap-up and has a tiny green or red body.
  • The third candle opens with a gap-down and closes at 50% or below of the first candle.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The first long green candle implies the dominance of bulls in the uptrend.
  • The gap-up of the second candle further confirms the bullish force but the tiny candle body tells us that the bull starts to lose momentum.
  • The gap-down of the third candle indicates that the bears are overriding the bulls and eventually manage to eliminate 50% gains or more from the first long green candle.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Evening Star at the top of an uptrend.
  • Wait for the fourth candle to close below the low of the third red candle to confirm the existence of bearish force.
  • Open a short position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss above the high of the second candle.

Three White Soldiers (Bullish)

a. How to recognise it?

  • There must be a preceding downtrend.
  • Three consecutive long green candles observed.
  • The second and third candle opens within body of the preceding one but closes higher than the preceding one.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The first long green candle signals that the bears are exhausted after the prolonged downtrend and the bulls start to take over. The bulls continue the rally with the subsequent two candles closing higher.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Three Soldiers at the bottom of a downtrend.
  • Wait for the fourth candle to close above the high of the third candle to confirm the reversal.
  • Open a long position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss below the low of the first green candle.

Morning Star (Bullish)

a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding downtrend.
  • The first candle has a long and red body.
  • The second candle opens with a gap-down and has a tiny green or red body.
  • The third candle opens with a gap-up and closes at 50% or above of the first candle.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The first long red candle implies the dominance of the bears in a downtrend.
  • The gap-down of the second candle further confirms the bearish force but the tiny candle body tells us that the bears start to lose momentum.
  • The gap-up of the third candle indicates that the bulls are overriding the bears and eventually manage or makeup 50% losses or more from the first long red candle.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Morning Star at the bottom of a downtrend.
  • Wait for the fourth candle to close above the high of the third green candle to confirm the existence of bullish force.
  • Open a long position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss below the low of the second candle.

Three Black Crows (Bearish)

a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding uptrend.
  • Three consecutive long red candles observed.
  • The second and third candle open within the body of the preceding one but closes lower than the preceding one.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The first long red candle signals that the bulls are exhausted after the prolonged uptrend and the bears start to take over. The bears continue the slump with the subsequent two candles closing lower.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Three Black Crows at the top of an uptrend.
  • Wait for the fourth candle to close below the low of the third candle to confirm the reversal.
  • Open a short position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss above the high of the first red candle.

Evening Star (Bearish)

a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding uptrend.
  • The first candle has a long and green body.
  • The second candle opens with a gap-up and has a tiny green or red body.
  • The third candle opens with a gap-down and closes at 50% or below of the first candle.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The first long green candle implies the dominance of bulls in the uptrend.
  • The gap-up of the second candle further confirms the bullish force but the tiny candle body tells us that the bull starts to lose momentum.
  • The gap-down of the third candle indicates that the bears are overriding the bulls and eventually manage to eliminate 50% gains or more from the first long green candle.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Evening Star at the top of an uptrend.
  • Wait for the fourth candle to close below the low of the third red candle to confirm the existence of bearish force.
  • Open a short position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss above the high of the second candle.

Bullish Engulfing (Bullish)
a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding downtrend.
  • A shorter red candle followed by a longer green candle.
  • The green candle opens lower and closes higher than the red candle, completely engulfing it.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The red candle implies the control of the bears following a prolonged downtrend.
  • In the next session, the market opens below the low of the red candle, suggesting the continuation of the bearish forces.
  • The bears then lose momentum, the bulls take charge and lead the price up during the session, and eventually manage to close above the high of the red candle.
  • The bulls have now fully overridden the bears.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Bullish Engulfing at the bottom of a downtrend.
  • Wait for the next candle to close above the high of the green candle to confirm the existence of bullish force.
  • Open a long position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss below the low of the green candle.

Piercing (Bullish)

a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding downtrend.
  • A red candle followed by a green candle.
  • The green candle opens with a gap-down and closes at 50% or above of the real body of red candle.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The red candle implies the control of the bears following a prolonged downtrend.
  • In the next session, the market opens below the low of the red candle, suggesting the continuation of the bearish forces.
  • The bears then lose momentum, the bulls conquer and lead the price up during the session, and eventually manage to cover 50% losses or more from the previous session.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Piercing at the bottom of a downtrend.
  • Wait for the next candle to close above the high of the green candle to confirm the existence of bullish force.
  • Open a long position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss below the low of the green candle.

Tweezer Bottom (Bullish)

a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding downtrend.
  • A red candle followed by a green candle.
  • Both candles have the same low.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The candles in both sessions form the same low, suggesting that the market refuses to go below that price level. Once the price touches the floor, it bounces back. That price level may be viewed as short-term support.
  • The closing price of the green candle shies away from the low further than the red candle does. It shows that the bullish forces are getting stronger.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Tweezer Bottom at the bottom of a downtrend.
  • Wait for the next candle to close above the high of the two candles to confirm the existence of bullish force.
  • Open a long position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss below the low of the two candles

Bearish Engulfing (Bearish)

a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding uptrend. 
  • A shorter green candle followed by a long red candle.
  • The longer red candle opens higher and closes lower than the shorter green candle, completely engulfing it.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The green candle implies the control of the bulls following a prolonged uptrend.
  • In the next session, the market opens above the high of the green candle, suggesting the continuation of the bullish forces.
  • The bulls then lose momentum, the bears take charge and send the price down during the session, and eventually manage to close below the low of the green candle.
  • The bears have now fully overridden the bulls.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Bearish Engulfing at the top of an uptrend.
  • Wait for the next candle to close below the low of the red candle to confirm the existence of bearish force.
  • Open a short position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss above the high of the red candle.

Dark Cloud Cover (Bearish)

a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding uptrend.
  • A green candle followed by a red candle.
  • The red candle opens with a gap-up and closes at 50% or below of the real body of the green candle.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The green candle implies the control of the bulls following a prolonged uptrend.
  • In the next session, the market opens above the high of the green candle, suggesting the continuation of the bullish forces.
  • The bulls then lose momentum, the bears conquer and send the price down during the session, and eventually manage to wipe out 50% gains or more from the previous session.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Dark Cloud Cover at the top of an uptrend.
  • Wait for the next candle to close below the low of the red candle to confirm the existence of bearish force.
  • Open a short position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss above the high of the red candle.

Tweezer Top (Bearish)

a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding uptrend.
  • A green candle followed by a red candle.
  • Both candles have the same high.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • The candles in both sessions form the same high, suggesting that the market refuses to go above that price level. Once the price touches the ceiling, it retreats. That price level may be viewed as a short-term resistance.
  • The closing price of the red candle shies away from the high further than the green candle does. It shows that the bearish forces are getting stronger.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Tweezer Top at the top of an uptrend.
  • Wait for the next candle to close below the low of the two candles to confirm the existence of bearish force.
  • Open a short position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss above the high of the two candles.

Dragonfly Doji (Bullish)

a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding downtrend.
  • It looks like a "T".
  • The opening, highest and closing price are the same.
  • It has no real body but a long lower shadow.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • When the market opens, the bears drag the price all the way down, resulting in a long lower shadow.
  • The bulls fight strongly and eventually manage to push the price back up to the opening level.
  • The longer the lower shadow, the more effective he bullish signal. It tells us that the bulls are strong enough to conquer the bears who once dragged the price so low.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Dragonfly Doji at the bottom of a downtrend.
  • Wait for the next candle to close above the high of the Dragonfly Doji to confirm the existence of bullish force.
  • Open a stop-loss below the low of the Dragonfly Doji.

Hammer (Bullish)

a. How to recognise it?
  • There must be a preceding downtrend.
  • It looks like a square lollipop with a long stick.
  • The closing price is above or near the opening price, forming a tiny body.
  • The real body could be green or red.
  • It has no or little upper shadow.
  • The lower shadow is at least twice the length of the real body.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • Similarly to Dragonfly Doji, when the market opens, the bears drag the price all the way down, resulting in a long lower shadow.
  • The bulls fight strongly and conquer the bears by pushing the price above or near the opening level, forming a little square body.
  • The longer the lower shadow, the more effective the bullish signal. It tells us that the bulls are strong enough to conquer the bears who once dragged the price so low.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Hammer at the bottom of a downtrend.
  • Wait for the next candle to close above the high of the Hammer to confirm the existence of bullish force.
  • Open a long position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss below the low of the Hammer.

Gravestone Doji (Bearish)

a. How to recognise it?
  • The must be a preceding uptrend.
  • It looks like an inverted "T" letter.
  • The opening, lowest and closing price are the same.
  • It has no real body but a long upper shadow.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • When the market opens, the bulls push the price all the way up, resulting in a long upper shadow.
  • The bears fight strongly and eventually manage to drag the price back down to the opening level.
  • The longer the upper shadow, the more effective the bearish signal. It tells us that the bears are strong enough to conquer the bulls who once drove the price so high.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Gravestone Doji at the top of an uptrend. Wait for the next candle to close below the low of the Gravestone Doji to confirm the existence of bearish force. 
  • Open a short position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss above the high of the Gravestone Doji.

Shooting Star (Bearish)

a. How to recognise it?
  • The must be a preceding uptrend.
  • It looks like a flying meteor carrying a long tail.
  • The closing price is below or near the opening price, forming a tiny body.
  • The real body could be green or red.
  • It has no or little lower shadow.
  • The upper shadow is at least twice of the length of the real body.
b. What is the psychology behind?
  • Similarly to Gravestone Doji, when the market opens, the bulls push the price all the way up, resulting in a long upper shadow.
  • The bears fight strongly and eventually manage to drag the price back down to the opening level, forming a little square body.
  • The longer the upper shadow, the more effective the bearish signal. It tells us that the bears are strong enough to conquer the bulls who once drove the price so high.
c. How do we trade it?
  • Look for the Shooting Star at the top of an uptrend. Wait for the next candle to close below the low of the Shooting Star to confirm the existence of bearish force. 
  • Open a short position upon confirmation.
  • Place a stop-loss above the high of the Shooting Star.

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